Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.75	2.08
	1.76	2.12
	1.76	2.19
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.09	Watch
	1.71	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.48)	2.13 ↓ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
55.2%

Mackenzie McDonald
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Felix Aliassime-Auger's form might have worsened.

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mackenzie McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.1%	0%	55.9%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 15 - 44.1%). McDonald will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 39.2% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches McDonald is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aliassime-Auger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aliassime-Auger won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.23	Adrian Mannarino - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
14.08.23	Matteo Berrettini - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
08.08.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
02.08.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Michael Mmoh - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Adrian Mannarino	McDonald M. retired ✺
16.08.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Mackenzie McDonald	Rune H. retired ✺
15.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
11.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Milos Raonic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ??WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
15.06.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Miami
19.03.18	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2

Felix Aliassime-Auger - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide