Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Atlanta (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 July 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6


	Juncheng Shang		Max Purcell

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.84
	1.48	2.81	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.74	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (2.03)	2.68 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
64.4%

Max Purcell
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juncheng Shang's performance.

Max Purcell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Purcell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juncheng Shang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Purcell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.9%	0%	12.1%

Juncheng Shang - Max Purcell Predictions

Users Predictions: Juncheng Shang will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shang is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Purcell is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Atlanta
25.07.24	Ben Shelton - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Andres Martin - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Juncheng Shang - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Juncheng Shang - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Juncheng Shang	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- Max Purcell
ATP Atlanta
25.07.24	David Goffin - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Christopher OConnell - Max Purcell	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Otto Virtanen - Max Purcell	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
29.06.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
28.06.24	Max Purcell - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW

Juncheng Shang - Max Purcell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide