Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tiburon 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jurij Rodionov		Abedallah Shelbayh

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.53	2.54
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
	1.67	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	2.14 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
56.4%

Abedallah Shelbayh
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jurij Rodionov's performance.

Abedallah Shelbayh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Abedallah Shelbayh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Jurij Rodionov - Abedallah Shelbayh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 156. Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 437.

Rodionov is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shelbayh is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shelbayh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rodionov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Abedallah Shelbayh - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Cooper Williams	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Marton Fucsovics - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWWW
- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2

Jurij Rodionov - Abedallah Shelbayh