Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Jurij Rodionov		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.4	1.51	Watch
	2.34	1.62
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
39.6%

Luca Van Assche
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Jurij Rodionov - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rodionov will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodionov: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 198. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 121.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Van Assche will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rodionov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Calvin Hemery - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Jurij Rodionov - Cem Ilkel	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Jurij Rodionov - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Jurij Rodionov - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WL?WL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Titouan Droguet - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Justin Engel - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Luca Van Assche - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Gijs Brouwer - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Jurij Rodionov	2:1

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