Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Justin Boulais		Alexandre Reco

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.80
	1.44	2.60
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.39	2.85
	1.40	2.73	Watch
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	2.75 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Boulais
66.3%

Alexandre Reco
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Boulais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alexandre Reco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Boulais than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Reco than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Justin Boulais - Alexandre Reco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Boulais is ranked ATP: 418., and Reco is ranked ATP: 963..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Reco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Boulais holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Boulais
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Harold Mayot - Justin Boulais	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Mickael Kaouk - Justin Boulais	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Justin Boulais - Matisse Bobichon	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Justin Boulais - Theo Arribage	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Alexandre Reco
ITF Tournaments
19.09.26	Aidan McHugh - Alexandre Reco	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Alexandre Reco - Etienne Donnet	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Damien Clerc - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Melvin Kumar - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Alexandre Reco - Samir Banerjee	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL

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