Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Little Rock, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Justin Boulais		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.76	1.49
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.6)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Boulais
35.5%

Nicolas Mejia
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Boulais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justin Boulais than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Justin Boulais that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Mejia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Justin Boulais - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5 Games - over (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boulais is ranked ATP: 423. Mejia is ranked ATP: 169.

Boulais has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mejia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mejia could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Boulais
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Erik Arutiunian - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Andrew Fenty - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Pavle Marinkov - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.05.26	Fausto Tabacco - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Justin Boulais - John Echeverria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Henry Searle - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Nicolas Mejia - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Benjamin Hassan - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Matthew Donald - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Nicolas Mejia - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Justin Boulais - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide