Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Matthew Donald		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.45	1.27
	3.49	1.33
	3.44	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.27	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.16)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
27%

Nicolas Mejia
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Matthew Donald - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 540. Mejia is ranked ATP: 152.

Donald is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Mejia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mejia is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Miguel Damas - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Gregor Hausberger - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.26	Yanki Erel - Matthew Donald	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Matthew Donald - Ioannis Xilas	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Keshav Chopra - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Nicolas Mejia - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Nicolas Mejia - Vladyslav Orlov	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	James Duckworth - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Nicolas Mejia - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Matias Soto - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Matthew Donald - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide