Match Info

Date: 1 September 2022, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Kaia Kanepi		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	2.62	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.63	1.49
	2.65	1.49
	2.79	1.49
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.59)	1.49 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaia Kanepi
36%

Aryna Sabalenka
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaia Kanepi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaia Kanepi than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	0%	56.2%

Kaia Kanepi - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Kanepi will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%). Sabalenka will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 39.1% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kanepi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sabalenka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kanepi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaia Kanepi
WTA US Open
30.08.22	Kaia Kanepi - Tereza Martincova	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.22	Kaia Kanepi - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
10.08.22	Kaia Kanepi - Garbine Muguruza	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	Kaia Kanepi - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. retired ✺
WTA Washington
07.08.22	Kaia Kanepi - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLL?L
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA US Open
30.08.22	Catherine Harrison - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
20.08.22	Caroline Garcia - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1 ✺
19.08.22	Aryna Sabalenka - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
18.08.22	Aryna Sabalenka - Shelby Rogers	2:1 ✺
17.08.22	Aryna Sabalenka - Anna Kalinskaya	Sabalenka A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
24.01.22	Kaia Kanepi - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1
WTA Melbourne Gippsland Trophy
01.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Kaia Kanepi	1:2

Kaia Kanepi - Aryna Sabalenka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide