Match Info

Date: 28 September 2022, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Kaia Kanepi		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.53	2.5
	1.54	2.37
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.42)	2.4 ↓ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaia Kanepi
60.6%

Jelena Ostapenko
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaia Kanepi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaia Kanepi's form might have worsened.

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelena Ostapenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaia Kanepi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaia Kanepi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Kaia Kanepi - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Kanepi will win (votes: 10 - 25%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 30 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 61.6% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kanepi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ostapenko is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ostapenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kanepi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kanepi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaia Kanepi
WTA US Open
01.09.22	Kaia Kanepi - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
30.08.22	Kaia Kanepi - Tereza Martincova	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.22	Kaia Kanepi - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
10.08.22	Kaia Kanepi - Garbine Muguruza	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	Kaia Kanepi - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLL?
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Seoul
25.09.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Emma Raducanu	Ostapenko J. retired ✺
23.09.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	2:0 ✺
22.09.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Anastasia Gasanova	2:1 ✺
20.09.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Boyoung Jeong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Eastbourne
26.06.18	Jelena Ostapenko - Kaia Kanepi	2:0

Kaia Kanepi - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide