Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Kaichi Uchida		Adria Soriano Barrera

	1	2
			Watch
	1.86	1.95
	1.75	1.93	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.83	1.85	Watch
	1.78	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)	1.88 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
50.8%

Adria Soriano Barrera
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaichi Uchida's form might have worsened.

Adria Soriano Barrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adria Soriano Barrera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Kaichi Uchida - Adria Soriano Barrera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Soriano Barrera (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Uchida is ranked ATP: 240. Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 391.

Uchida is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Soriano Barrera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Soriano Barrera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Joao Dinis Silva	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Max Schoenhaus	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW
- Adria Soriano Barrera
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Hugo Maia - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Lui Maxted - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Taha Baadi - Adria Soriano Barrera	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Reda Bennani - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	August Holmgren - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.03.22	Kaichi Uchida - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0

Kaichi Uchida - Adria Soriano Barrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide