Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Lui Maxted		Adria Soriano Barrera

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.63	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
55.5%

Adria Soriano Barrera
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lui Maxted's performance.

Adria Soriano Barrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adria Soriano Barrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lui Maxted that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adria Soriano Barrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lui Maxted - Adria Soriano Barrera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Soriano Barrera (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 454. Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 391.

Maxted has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Soriano Barrera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Soriano Barrera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Lui Maxted - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Adria Soriano Barrera - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
05.02.26	Anton Matusevich - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Alessandro Coccioli - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Charles Broom - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	James Story - Lui Maxted	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Lui Maxted - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW
- Adria Soriano Barrera
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Taha Baadi - Adria Soriano Barrera	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Reda Bennani - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	August Holmgren - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Andres Andrade - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tiago Cacao - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 ?LLLW

Lui Maxted - Adria Soriano Barrera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide