Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday


	Kaichi Uchida		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
50%

Daniel Michalski
50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kaichi Uchida have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Daniel Michalski have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaichi Uchida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Michalski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Kaichi Uchida - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uchida will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Michalski will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchida (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Uchida is ranked ATP: 249. Michalski is ranked ATP: 260.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Michalski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Kaichi Uchida - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Kaichi Uchida - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Kaichi Uchida - Robin Bertrand	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Kaichi Uchida - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Kaichi Uchida - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
14.01.26	Marat Sharipov - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Yuta Shimizu - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Elmer Moller - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Daniel Michalski - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Daniel Michalski - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL

Kaichi Uchida - Daniel Michalski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide