Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Michalski		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	2.06	1.78
	1.95	1.78	Watch
			Watch
	1.94	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.54)	1.89 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
50.3%

Gianluca Cadenasso
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Michalski's form might have worsened.

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianluca Cadenasso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Michalski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianluca Cadenasso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Daniel Michalski - Gianluca Cadenasso Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Michalski will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cadenasso will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cadenasso (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michalski is ranked ATP: 256. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 395.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Cadenasso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Michalski might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michalski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Michalski - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 59.97%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Gianluca Cadenasso - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Ryan Nijboer - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Emilien Demanet - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Phil Dungs - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Felix Gill - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Tim Handel - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.11.25	Martin Krumich - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Filippo Moroni	Moroni F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0

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