Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	Elmer Moller		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.52	2.57
	1.61	2.21	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.47	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)	2.53 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
62.9%

Daniel Michalski
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Elmer Moller - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Michalski will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Michalski (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Michalski will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Michalski (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 147. Michalski is ranked ATP: 258.

Recent performances by Moller have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Michalski is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moller could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Elmer Moller - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Elmer Moller - Carlos Lopez Montagud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Daniel Michalski - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Daniel Michalski - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Ryan Nijboer - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Emilien Demanet - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Phil Dungs - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW

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