Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama, hard - Final

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Kaichi Uchida		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.44	1.49	Watch
	2.65	1.43	Watch
			Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.15)	1.48 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
37.1%

Rei Sakamoto
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaichi Uchida's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Kaichi Uchida - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Sakamoto (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rei Sakamoto will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchida is ranked ATP: 288. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 176.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Sakamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sakamoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Sakamoto will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Kaichi Uchida - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.74%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Igor Marcondes	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Kei Nishikori - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Ryotaro Taguchi - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Hyeon Chung - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Kaichi Uchida - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Akira Santillan - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Maxim Zhukov - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Kasidit Samrej - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Kaichi Uchida	2:0

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