Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 3 (PORTUGAL), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Kaichi Uchida		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.3	1.28
	3.7	1.27
	3.82	1.3
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	6.35	1.1	Watch
	7.2	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.07)	1.22 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
21.3%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaichi Uchida's form might have worsened.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaichi Uchida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Kaichi Uchida - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Uchida will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uchida: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Uchida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
19.04.23	Kaichi Uchida - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
17.04.23	Kaichi Uchida - Joris De Loore	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Radu Albot - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
03.04.23	Kaichi Uchida - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
27.03.23	Alexandre Muller - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
19.04.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Duarte Vale - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Bjorn Fratangelo	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
04.04.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL

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