Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe (Japan) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Kaichi Uchida		Philip Sekulic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	1.99	1.79
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.61)	1.72 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
45.9%

Philip Sekulic
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaichi Uchida's performance.

Philip Sekulic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philip Sekulic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaichi Uchida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philip Sekulic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Kaichi Uchida - Philip Sekulic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Uchida will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Sekulic will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uchida: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchida is ranked ATP: 374. Sekulic is ranked ATP: 345.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Sekulic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Uchida won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Alexey Zakharov - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Shintaro Imai - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Kaichi Uchida - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Kaichi Uchida - Mukund Sasikumar	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Kaichi Uchida - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWW
- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Naoya Honda - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Dane Sweeny - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Hikaru Shiraishi - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Philip Sekulic - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Philip Sekulic - Pavle Marinkov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.07.24	Kaichi Uchida - Philip Sekulic	1:2
ATP Shanghai
02.10.23	Philip Sekulic - Kaichi Uchida	2:0

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