Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 June 2026, Monday


	Kaitlin Quevedo		Jasmin Ortenzi

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	3.10
	1.38	2.8
	1.4	2.98
	1.41	2.72	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.3	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.61)	2.87 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaitlin Quevedo
67.4%

Jasmin Ortenzi
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaitlin Quevedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaitlin Quevedo's performance.

Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmin Ortenzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaitlin Quevedo than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaitlin Quevedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmin Ortenzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kaitlin Quevedo - Jasmin Ortenzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Quevedo is ranked WTA: 126. Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 168.

Quevedo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ortenzi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ortenzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Quevedo might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Kaitlin Quevedo - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Teodora Kostovic - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW
- Jasmin Ortenzi
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Viola Turini	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Marta Lombardini	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Beatrice Ricci	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
20.05.26	Alina Korneeva - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Arantxa Rus - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

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