Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Karen Khachanov		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.56	Watch
	2.57	1.56
	2.42	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.38	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (3.12)	1.56 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
39.3%

Daniil Medvedev
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karen Khachanov's performance.

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Medvedev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Medvedev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Medvedev will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 21. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 8.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 1.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Medvedev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Medvedev is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Marseille
12.02.25	Karen Khachanov - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov	3:0 ✺
15.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Karen Khachanov	1:3 ✺
13.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Marseille
15.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
05.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev	2:0
ATP Vienna
27.10.23	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:1
ATP Miami
31.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:1
ATP Adelaide
05.01.23	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Montreal
10.08.19	Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Moscow
20.10.18	Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP Next Gen Finals
07.11.17	Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev	1:3

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