Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Karen Khachanov		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.35	3.36
	1.52	2.51	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)	2.99 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
68.1%

Kei Nishikori
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karen Khachanov's performance.

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kei Nishikori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kei Nishikori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Nishikori will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 24. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 62.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 1.

Khachanov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nishikori is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nishikori may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Khachanov is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 59.37%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Roma
13.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Geneva
19.05.25	Kei Nishikori - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Christopher Eubanks	Nishikori K. retired ✺
01.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.21	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	2:3
ATP Madrid
04.05.21	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	1:2
ATP Vienna
25.10.18	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	0:2
ATP Halle
20.06.18	Kei Nishikori - Karen Khachanov	0:2
22.06.17	Kei Nishikori - Karen Khachanov	Nishikori K. retired
ATP US Open
01.09.16	Kei Nishikori - Karen Khachanov	3:1

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