Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Karen Khachanov		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.60	2.30
	1.62	2.28
	1.63	2.46
	1.66	2.19	Watch
	1.60	2.40
	1.65	2.41	Watch
	1.64	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	2.33 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
58.9%

Flavio Cobolli
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	0%	32.3%

Karen Khachanov - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Cobolli will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 56.1% – 88.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Cobolli (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 22. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 10.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cobolli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khachanov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 45.54%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Karen Khachanov - Yannick Hanfmann	3:0 ✺
30.06.26	Karen Khachanov - Billy Harris	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
24.06.26	Karen Khachanov - Martin Damm	0:2
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Karen Khachanov - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Karen Khachanov - Jesper De Jong	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	James Duckworth - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
01.07.26	Mariano Navone - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
15.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
07.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Zverev	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
29.04.24	Flavio Cobolli - Karen Khachanov	0:2

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