Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Flavio Cobolli		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.70	Watch
	2.17	1.68	Watch
	2.27	1.71
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.10	1.73
	2.02	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.91)	1.71 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
44.5%

Francis Tiafoe
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flavio Cobolli's form might have worsened.

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 14. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 26.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Cobolli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tiafoe might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cobolli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Roland Garros
07.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Zverev	2:3 ✺
05.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. Walkover ✺
03.06.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
01.06.26	Flavio Cobolli - Zachary Svajda	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 L?WWW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.26	Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	2:3 ✺
30.05.26	Jaime Faria - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Acapulco
28.02.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	2:0
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2

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