Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Karen Khachanov		Kamil Majchrzak

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.26	3.75
	1.2	4.35	Watch
	1.22	4.88
	1.19	4.70	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.21	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.39)	4.39 ↑ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
78.3%

Kamil Majchrzak
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karen Khachanov's performance.

Kamil Majchrzak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kamil Majchrzak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karen Khachanov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kamil Majchrzak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak Predictions

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karen Khachanov will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 9. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 76.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Khachanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Khachanov is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Zverev	Khachanov K. retired ✺
12.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 W?WWL
- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Hugo Dellien - Kamil Majchrzak	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Nuno Borges - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
06.07.25	Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak	3:0
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.22	Karen Khachanov - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1
ATP Lyon
19.05.21	Kamil Majchrzak - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Kamil Majchrzak - Karen Khachanov	0:3

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