Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BEIJING (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday


	Karen Khachanov		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.61	2.31
	1.62	2.44
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.63	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	2.32 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
58.9%

Lorenzo Musetti
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Karen Khachanov - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.14% – 96.86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Musetti is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Khachanov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Khachanov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Zhuhai
26.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
22.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Karen Khachanov - Michael Mmoh	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Chengdu
25.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Philip Sekulic - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.23	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Titouan Droguet	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL

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