Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Roman Safiullin		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.99	1.89
	1.89	1.89	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.93	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.71)	1.91 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
50.3%

Lorenzo Musetti
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Musetti will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 69. Musetti is ranked ATP: 16.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Roman Safiullin - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Roman Safiullin - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Roman Safiullin - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.25	Roman Safiullin - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lorenzo Musetti	Canceled ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. walkover ✺
13.02.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
15.01.25	Denis Shapovalov - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ??WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
24.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Roman Safiullin	2:0
ATP Chengdu
25.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Challenger
18.02.19	Lorenzo Musetti - Roman Safiullin	0:2

Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide