Match Info

Date: 21 January 2022, Friday


	Karen Khachanov		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.75	1.18	Watch
	5.1	1.18
	4.6	1.18
	5.11	1.21
	5	1.16
	5.45	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4.56)	1.19 ↓ (1.24)

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
19.4%

Rafael Nadal
80.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

78.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rafael Nadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.2%	0%	67.8%

Karen Khachanov - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 19 - 32.2%). Nadal will win (votes: 40 - 67.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nadal: 55.9% – 79.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Recent matches Khachanov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nadal is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nadal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nadal is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Australian Open
19.01.22	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	3:0 ✺
16.01.22	Karen Khachanov - Denis Kudla	3:1 ✺
ATP Adelaide 2
12.01.22	Karen Khachanov - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
11.01.22	Karen Khachanov - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
09.01.22	Gael Monfils - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Australian Open
18.01.22	Yannick Hanfmann - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
16.01.22	Marcos Giron - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
ATP Melbourne Summer Set
09.01.22	Rafael Nadal - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
08.01.22	Rafael Nadal - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
06.01.22	Rafael Nadal - Tallon Griekspoor	Nadal R. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

Abu Dhabi Exhibition
20.12.19	Rafael Nadal - Karen Khachanov	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
19.11.19	Rafael Nadal - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.19	Karen Khachanov - Rafael Nadal	0:2
Abu Dhabi Exhibition
29.12.18	Rafael Nadal - Karen Khachanov	Canceled
ATP US Open
31.08.18	Rafael Nadal - Karen Khachanov	3:1
ATP Toronto
11.08.18	Rafael Nadal - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
19.04.18	Rafael Nadal - Karen Khachanov	2:0

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