Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Drummondville - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Karl Poling		Connor Thomson

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.67
	2.11	1.7
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.85)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karl Poling
44.4%

Connor Thomson
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karl Poling's form might have worsened.

Connor Thomson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Connor Thomson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connor Thomson than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Karl Poling - Connor Thomson Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Poling will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Poling (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Thomson (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 Games - Poling (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Poling (votes: 6 - 75%). Thomson (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poling is ranked ATP: 614. Thomson is ranked ATP: 1151.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Poling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Karl Poling - Jean-Christophe Baril	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.11.25	Benjamin Thomas George - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Raphael Perot - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Raphael Perot - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Karl Poling - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW
- Connor Thomson
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Connor Thomson - Oliver Bonding	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.25	Lui Maxted - Connor Thomson	Maxted L. walkover ✺
16.10.25	Luca Castagnola - Connor Thomson	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Connor Thomson - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Connor Thomson - Maxim Shin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 W?WWL

Karl Poling - Connor Thomson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide