Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Karl Poling		Oscar Weightman

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.52
			Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.57)	1.53 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karl Poling
38.8%

Oscar Weightman
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karl Poling's form might have worsened.

Oscar Weightman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oscar Weightman's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Karl Poling - Oscar Weightman Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Poling will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Weightman will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Weightman: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Oscar Weightman will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poling is ranked ATP: 552. Weightman is ranked ATP: 1024.

Poling is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Poling will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karl Poling
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Karl Poling - Nicolas Arseneault	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Karl Poling - Nicaise Muamba	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Maikel De Boes - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Niklas Waldner - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Dan Added - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Oscar Weightman
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	James Watt - Oscar Weightman	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Takeru Yuzuki - Oscar Weightman	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.07.25	Oscar Weightman - Miles Jones	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Andres Martin - Oscar Weightman	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Oscar Weightman - Maxwell McKennon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLL

Karl Poling - Oscar Weightman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide