Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Soma Bay 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Juan Alejandro Hernandez		Niels McDonald

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Juan Alejandro Hernandez
42.6%

Niels McDonald
57.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Alejandro Hernandez's form might have worsened.

Niels McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niels McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hernandez will win (votes: 3 - 75%). McDonald will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Hernandez is ranked ATP: 409. McDonald is ranked ATP: 1094.

McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hernandez could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
10.01.26	Markus Malaszszak - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	Canceled ✺
26.11.25	Nicolas Barrientos - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Hernan Casanova - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 L?LWL
- Niels McDonald
ITF Tournaments
15.01.26	Marko Miladinovic - Niels McDonald	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Niels McDonald - Maximilian Neuchrist	Neuchrist M. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Oleg Prihodko - Niels McDonald	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Niels McDonald - Massimo Giunta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 L?LLL

Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Niels McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide