Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Karolina Muchova		Katerina Siniakova

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.37	3.15	Watch
	1.39	3.28
	1.38	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3.08	Watch
	1.37	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
69.7%

Katerina Siniakova
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Katerina Siniakova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Karolina Muchova - Katerina Siniakova Predictions

Users Predictions: Karolina Muchova will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 15. Siniakova is ranked WTA: 59.

Muchova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Siniakova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Muchova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Muchova is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Muchova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.25	Karolina Muchova - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
21.02.25	Clara Tauson - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
20.02.25	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	McCartney Kessler - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Emma Raducanu - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW
- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.25	Katerina Siniakova - Yulia Putintseva	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
17.02.25	Katerina Siniakova - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Katerina Siniakova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Katerina Siniakova - Kristina Mladenovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
11.06.20	Karolina Muchova - Katerina Siniakova	2:0
WTA Dubai
18.02.20	Karolina Muchova - Katerina Siniakova	1:2

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