Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Katerina Siniakova

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.67	1.52
	2.66	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.71	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.4)	1.46 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
35%

Katerina Siniakova
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Lourdes Carle's performance.

Katerina Siniakova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katerina Siniakova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Katerina Siniakova Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Siniakova will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siniakova: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 103. Siniakova is ranked WTA: 59.

Two players are playing changeable.

Siniakova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Siniakova will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
WTA Indian Wells
04.03.25	Daria Saville - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Petra Martic - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
WTA Merida
24.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW
- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Dubai
17.02.25	Katerina Siniakova - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Katerina Siniakova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Katerina Siniakova - Kristina Mladenovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.25	Paula Badosa - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
08.02.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Katerina Siniakova	Siniakova K. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWW??

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