Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Italy	Super Tennis
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Karolina Muchova		Sorana Cirstea

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.81	2.09
	1.13	5.93	Watch
	1.57	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	3 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Muchova
66%

Sorana Cirstea
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karolina Muchova's performance.

Sorana Cirstea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sorana Cirstea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Muchova will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Cirstea will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Muchova (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games, 1st Set - Muchova (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Muchova (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Muchova (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karolina Muchova will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Muchova (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Cirstea (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muchova is ranked WTA: 15. Cirstea is ranked WTA: 64.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 4.

Muchova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Cirstea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Muchova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Muchova won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Muchova
WTA US Open
03.09.25	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Linda Noskova - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Venus Williams - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW
- Sorana Cirstea
WTA Beijing
23.09.25	Caroline Dolehide - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
18.09.25	Iga Swiatek - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Anastasia Zakharova - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Lin Zhu - Sorana Cirstea	Canceled ✺
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
28.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	1:2
WTA Dubai
20.02.25	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:0
WTA US Open
05.09.23	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	0:2
WTA Montreal
09.08.23	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	0:2
WTA Miami
26.03.23	Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova	2:0
WTA Dubai
21.02.23	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:0
WTA US Open
05.09.20	Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea	2:1

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