Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Prague, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Katarina Kuzmova		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.84	1.43
	2.78	1.39	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.71	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.9)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katarina Kuzmova
34.1%

Jessika Ponchet
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katarina Kuzmova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katarina Kuzmova than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+3%)

Katarina Kuzmova - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kuzmova is ranked WTA: 366. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 165.

Kuzmova is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Ponchet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kuzmova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ponchet is a strong favorite.

We predict that Kuzmova will win today's game, with odds of 2.88.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katarina Kuzmova
ITF Tournaments
08.02.26	Katarina Kuzmova - Amelia Rajecki	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Katy Dunne - Katarina Kuzmova	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Katarina Kuzmova - Hannah Klugman	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Katarina Kuzmova - Ipek Oz	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Katarina Kuzmova - Josy Daems	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWW
- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
23.01.26	Jessika Ponchet - Carol Young Suh Lee	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Jessika Ponchet - Vittoria Paganetti	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Jessika Ponchet - Briana Szabo	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Tamara Zidansek - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
WTA Auckland
02.01.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

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