Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday


	Sonay Kartal		Katie Boulter

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2	1.78
			Watch
	2.4	1.63
			Watch
	2	1.8
	2.33	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.63)	1.69 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonay Kartal
43.3%

Katie Boulter
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sonay Kartal's performance.

Katie Boulter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katie Boulter might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonay Kartal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katie Boulter could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	0%	88.5%

Sonay Kartal - Katie Boulter Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Kartal (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Kartal (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Katie Boulter will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Katie Boulter will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Kartal (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Boulter (votes: 10 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kartal is ranked WTA: 50. Boulter is ranked WTA: 39.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Boulter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Boulter could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kartal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonay Kartal
WTA Nottingham
17.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
WTA London
11.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sonay Kartal	1:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
29.05.25	Marie Bouzkova - Sonay Kartal	2:0 ✺
27.05.25	Sonay Kartal - Erika Andreeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLW
- Katie Boulter
WTA Nottingham
17.06.25	Lulu Sun - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
WTA London
12.06.25	Diana Shnaider - Katie Boulter	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
29.05.25	Madison Keys - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
26.05.25	Carole Monnet - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.06.23	Katie Boulter - Sonay Kartal	2:1

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