Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centre Court (London) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	19:15	beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 10, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 6, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, beIN Sports MAX 9
Greece	20:15	Nova Sports 6, Nova Sports Prime
Netherlands	19:15	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Switzerland	19:15	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2


	Paula Badosa		Katie Boulter

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.64	2.2	Watch
	1.83	2.04
			Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.67	2.34	Watch
	1.64	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.48)	2.24 ↓ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
57.4%

Katie Boulter
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paula Badosa's form might have worsened.

Katie Boulter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katie Boulter's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paula Badosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katie Boulter, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	0%	52.6%

Paula Badosa - Katie Boulter Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Boulter will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boulter: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Badosa (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Boulter (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Badosa is ranked WTA: 9. Boulter is ranked WTA: 41.

Badosa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Boulter has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Badosa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Badosa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Paula Badosa - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.17%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Berlin
20.06.25	Paula Badosa - Xin Yu Wang	Badosa P. retired ✺
18.06.25	Paula Badosa - Emma Navarro	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Paula Badosa - Eva Lys	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
31.05.25	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
29.05.25	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?WWLW
- Katie Boulter
WTA Nottingham
20.06.25	McCartney Kessler - Katie Boulter	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Lulu Sun - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
WTA London
12.06.25	Diana Shnaider - Katie Boulter	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Tokyo
20.10.24	Paula Badosa - Katie Boulter	Canceled
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.24	Katie Boulter - Paula Badosa	1:2

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