Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir 8, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monastir 8 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Kayo Nishimura		Marie Vogt

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.00
	1.72	2
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	2.03	1.73
	1.75	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.97)	1.87 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayo Nishimura
51.2%

Marie Vogt
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayo Nishimura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Marie Vogt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayo Nishimura than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kayo Nishimura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marie Vogt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kayo Nishimura - Marie Vogt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishimura is ranked WTA: 533., and Vogt is ranked WTA: 448..

Nishimura is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Vogt have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vogt could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nishimura has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayo Nishimura
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Kayo Nishimura - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2:1 ✺
22.10.26	Victoria Milovanova - Kayo Nishimura	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	Sara Husar - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Kayo Nishimura - Chenting Zhu	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Victoria Milovanova - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLW
- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Marie Vogt - Sofia Camila Rojas	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Marie Vogt - Baotong Xu	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Marie Vogt - Polina Berezina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Daria Yesypchuk - Marie Vogt	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Marie Vogt - Lidia Encheva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Kayo Nishimura - Marie Vogt	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayo Nishimura
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Sara Husar - Kayo Nishimura	✺
28.10.26	Anastasia Lizunova - Kayo Nishimura	✺
- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Marie Vogt - Nahjime Dho	✺
28.10.26	Marie Vogt - Yui Watanabe	✺

Kayo Nishimura - Marie Vogt