Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 37, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Kayo Nishimura		Marie Vogt

	1	2
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)	1.89 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayo Nishimura
50.9%

Marie Vogt
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayo Nishimura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kayo Nishimura's performance.

Marie Vogt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marie Vogt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayo Nishimura than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kayo Nishimura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marie Vogt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kayo Nishimura - Marie Vogt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nishimura is ranked WTA: 662. Vogt is ranked WTA: 594.

Nishimura is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vogt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nishimura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayo Nishimura
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Dominika Podhajecka - Kayo Nishimura	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Sophia Ksandinov - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Tamara Sramkova - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Masha Lazarenko - Kayo Nishimura	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Margaux Komano - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW
- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Margaux Komano - Marie Vogt	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Keira Blackbeard - Marie Vogt	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Olivia Cela - Marie Vogt	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Marie Vogt - Daria Lodikova	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Aimilia Pandou - Marie Vogt	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWWL?

Kayo Nishimura - Marie Vogt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide