Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir 8, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monastir 8 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Marie Vogt		Sofia Camila Rojas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	2	1.72
	1.84	1.61	Watch
	2.18	1.64
	1.92	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marie Vogt
46.2%

Sofia Camila Rojas
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marie Vogt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sofia Camila Rojas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Camila Rojas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Marie Vogt - Sofia Camila Rojas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vogt is ranked WTA: 448..

Vogt has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Rojas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vogt could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Rojas in today's match, at odds of 1.77.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Marie Vogt - Baotong Xu	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Marie Vogt - Polina Berezina	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Daria Yesypchuk - Marie Vogt	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Marie Vogt - Lidia Encheva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Marie Vogt - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- Sofia Camila Rojas
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Sofia Camila Rojas - Adelina Lachinova	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Oriana Gniewkowska - Sofia Camila Rojas	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Vaishnavi Adkar - Sofia Camila Rojas	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Sofia Camila Rojas - Ada Kumru	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Sofia Camila Rojas - Chelsea Fontenel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Marie Vogt - Nahjime Dho	✺
28.10.26	Marie Vogt - Yui Watanabe	✺
- Sofia Camila Rojas
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Baotong Xu - Sofia Camila Rojas	✺
28.10.26	Abigeyle Bhopal - Sofia Camila Rojas	✺

Marie Vogt - Sofia Camila Rojas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Marie Vogt - Sofia Camila Rojas Predictions

Preview

Form

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