Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cleveland, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cleveland 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	19:50	Veikkaus TV


	Keegan Smith		Antoine Ghibaudo

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.12	1.78
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.01	1.7	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.89)	1.74 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
46.3%

Antoine Ghibaudo
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Keegan Smith - Antoine Ghibaudo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ghibaudo will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keegan Smith will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 338. Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 356.

Smith has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.92%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Antoine Ghibaudo - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.08%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Tyler Zink - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Keegan Smith - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Raphael Perot - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Keegan Smith - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Stefan Dostanic - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW
- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Duncan Chan - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Clement Chidekh	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL

Keegan Smith - Antoine Ghibaudo