Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Winston-Salem, NC 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Keegan Smith		Quinn Vandecasteele

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.52	Watch
	1.45	2.52	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
63%

Quinn Vandecasteele
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Keegan Smith - Quinn Vandecasteele Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 424. Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 668.

Smith has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vandecasteele is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Smith won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 62.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ITF Tournaments
16.01.26	Stefan Dostanic - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Ryan Fishback - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Marcel Latak - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Keegan Smith - Luca Pow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Quinn Vandecasteele
ITF Tournaments
16.01.26	Alexander Kotzen - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Alan Magadan - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Keegan Smith - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.01.26	Keegan Smith - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0
ATP Challenger
12.08.23	Quinn Vandecasteele - Keegan Smith	1:2

Keegan Smith - Quinn Vandecasteele: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide