Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Diego 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Raphael Perot		Keegan Smith

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Raphael Perot
44.7%

Keegan Smith
55.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Perot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Perot will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Smith will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Perot is ranked ATP: 406. Smith is ranked ATP: 363.

Smith is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Perot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Perot
ITF Tournaments
13.01.26	Raphael Perot - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Raphael Perot - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Raphael Perot - Aidan McHugh	Perot R. retired ✺
30.10.25	Raphael Perot - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Raphael Perot - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LL?WW
- Keegan Smith
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Keegan Smith - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Stefan Dostanic - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Ryan Fishback - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Marcel Latak - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW

Raphael Perot - Keegan Smith