Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manzanillo (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday


	Keegan Smith		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.49	1.55
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2.33	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.92)	1.55 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
39.9%

Aziz Dougaz
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keegan Smith's performance.

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aziz Dougaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keegan Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aziz Dougaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Keegan Smith - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dougaz will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 544. Dougaz is ranked ATP: 218.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dougaz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
20.11.24	Keegan Smith - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Keegan Smith - Rodrigo Crespo Piedra	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Keegan Smith - Rodrigo Alujas	Canceled ✺
11.11.24	Keegan Smith - Martin Borisiouk	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Keegan Smith - Lucas Horve	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LW?LW
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Aidan Mayo - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
13.11.24	Aziz Dougaz - Patrick Zahraj	Dougaz A. retired ✺
12.11.24	Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.11.24	Aziz Dougaz - Fadi Bidan	Dougaz A. retired ✺
31.10.24	Aziz Dougaz - Kacper Szymkowiak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 L?W?L

Keegan Smith - Aziz Dougaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide