Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Drummondville (Canada), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday


	Aziz Dougaz		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.89	1.82	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	1.94	1.81	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.63)	1.83 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Dougaz
49.2%

Nicolas Mejia
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aziz Dougaz's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Mejia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aziz Dougaz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: Aziz Dougaz will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dougaz is ranked ATP: 205. Mejia is ranked ATP: 217.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Dougaz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dougaz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Dougaz
ITF Tournaments
06.11.24	Aziz Dougaz - Fadi Bidan	Dougaz A. retired ✺
31.10.24	Aziz Dougaz - Kacper Szymkowiak	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	Aziz Dougaz - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.24	Aziz Dougaz - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
18.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LWLW
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Nicolas Mejia - Johannus Monday	1:2 ✺
30.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Denis Kudla	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
16.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Ernesto Escobedo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.10.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aziz Dougaz	0:2
14.04.23	Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Mejia	2:1

Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide