Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday


	Keegan Smith		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

	1	2
	1.18	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.1
	1.22	4.1
	1.18	4.2
	1.2	4.64
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.33)	4.33 ↑ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
78.4%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keegan Smith's performance.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Alejandro Hernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keegan Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Alejandro Hernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Keegan Smith - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: Keegan Smith will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hernandez is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hernandez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
26.04.22	Keegan Smith - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
25.04.22	Akira Santillan - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
24.04.22	Eduardo Bribiesca - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
11.04.22	Keegan Smith - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Adrian Menendez-Maceiras - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
17.04.22	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Nicolas Barrientos	0:2 ✺
28.03.22	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.22	Evan Zhu - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
23.03.22	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Michel Vernier	2:0 ✺
17.03.22	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Jose-Rubin Statham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Keegan Smith - Juan Alejandro Hernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide