Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Huamantla 6 (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday


	Keegan Smith		Mwendwa Mbithi

	1	2
	1.12	5
	1.15	4.6
	1.15	4.69	Watch
	1.14	5
	1.18	4.38
	1.15	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.36)	4.71 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
80.4%

Mwendwa Mbithi
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keegan Smith's performance.

Mwendwa Mbithi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mwendwa Mbithi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keegan Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwendwa Mbithi than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mwendwa Mbithi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 576. Mbithi is ranked ATP: 943.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mbithi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Keegan Smith - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Keegan Smith - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Keegan Smith - Rodrigo Crespo Piedra	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Keegan Smith - Rodrigo Alujas	Canceled ✺
11.11.24	Keegan Smith - Martin Borisiouk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLW?L
- Mwendwa Mbithi
ITF Tournaments
28.11.24	Alvin Nicholas Tudorica - Mwendwa Mbithi	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Mwendwa Mbithi - Alexander Brown	2:0 ✺
15.11.24	Mwendwa Mbithi - William Grant	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Will Mayew - Mwendwa Mbithi	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Mwendwa Mbithi - Pavel Verbin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

Keegan Smith - Mwendwa Mbithi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide