Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan (China), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday


	Keegan Smith		Ye Cong Mo

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.46
	1.55	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)	2.42 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
61%

Ye Cong Mo
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keegan Smith's performance.

Ye Cong Mo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ye Cong Mo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keegan Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ye Cong Mo than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ye Cong Mo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Keegan Smith - Ye Cong Mo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 640. Mo is ranked ATP: 713.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Mo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Smith will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
21.08.24	Keegan Smith - Ji Sung Nam	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Mikalai Haliak - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Keegan Smith - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Keegan Smith - Seita Watanabe	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.24	Learner Tien - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL
- Ye Cong Mo
ATP Challenger
21.08.24	Ye Cong Mo - Yan Bai	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Ye Cong Mo - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Egor Agafonov - Ye Cong Mo	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Renlong Pang - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.08.24	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Ye Cong Mo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL

Keegan Smith - Ye Cong Mo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide