Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Yan B. (Chn)


	Mikalai Haliak		Keegan Smith

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.28
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.68	1.29
	3.23	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.37	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.69)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikalai Haliak
28%

Keegan Smith
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikalai Haliak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikalai Haliak's form might have worsened.

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikalai Haliak than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Mikalai Haliak - Keegan Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Haliak is ranked ATP: 435. Smith is ranked ATP: 640.

Recent matches Haliak is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Haliak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Smith will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Smith to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikalai Haliak
ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Liam Gavrielides - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.24	Mikalai Haliak - Thomas Gerbaud	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Cezar Cretu - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Luca Preda - Mikalai Haliak	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Mikalai Haliak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
19.08.24	Keegan Smith - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Keegan Smith - Seita Watanabe	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.24	Learner Tien - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
12.07.24	Keegan Smith - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Keegan Smith - Miles Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

Mikalai Haliak - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide