Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Kei Nishikori		Michael Antonius

	1	2
	1.62	2.20
	1.55	2.35
	1.42	2.80
	1.58	2.43
	1.6	2.34	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.54	2.41	Watch
	1.65	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.42)	2.37 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kei Nishikori
60%

Michael Antonius
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kei Nishikori's form might have worsened.

Michael Antonius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Antonius's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kei Nishikori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Antonius than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michael Antonius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Kei Nishikori - Michael Antonius Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nishikori will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Antonius will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antonius: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 24.5 Games - under (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishikori is ranked ATP: 477. Antonius is ranked ATP: 670.

Nishikori has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Antonius is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Antonius may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Kei Nishikori - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.11%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Sebastian Ofner - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.26	Marco Trungelliti - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Kei Nishikori - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Michael Zheng - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- Michael Antonius
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Michael Antonius - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.26	Ilyas Milad Fahim - Michael Antonius	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Alexander Bernard - Michael Antonius	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Dillon Beckles - Michael Antonius	Beckles D. Retired ✺
15.07.26	Jonah Braswell - Michael Antonius	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWW?W

Kei Nishikori - Michael Antonius: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide