Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 25 August 2026, TuesdayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)
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Sebastian Ofner |
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Kei Nishikori |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.83 |
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1.83 |
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 |
1.90 |
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1.85 |
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 |
1.88 |
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1.88 |
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 |
1.95 |
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1.91 |
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 |
1.82 |
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1.91 |
 Watch |
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2.05 |
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1.72 |
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1.9 |
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1.9 |
Watch |
 |
1.85 |
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1.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.34) |
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1.86 ↑
(1.56) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sebastian Ofner
49.5% | Kei Nishikori
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Ofner's performance.Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kei Nishikori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kei Nishikori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sebastian Ofner - Kei Nishikori Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Nishikori will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 46.1% – 91.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 1 - 50%). Nishikori (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Ofner is ranked ATP: 125. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 477.Ofner is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Nishikori has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Nishikori may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ofner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Sebastian Ofner - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Miami | | | 21.03.24 | Sebastian Ofner - Kei Nishikori | 2:0 |
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