Match Info

Date: 11 May 2021, Tuesday


	Kei Nishikori		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.87	1.93	Watch
	1.83	1.91
	1.9	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.17)	1.92 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kei Nishikori
50.5%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kei Nishikori's performance.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Carreno-Busta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kei Nishikori that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Carreno-Busta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78%	0%	22%

Kei Nishikori - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: Kei Nishikori will win (71 of 91 users predict this - 78.02%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.51% – 86.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Nishikori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nishikori won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP Roma
10.05.21	Kei Nishikori - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
05.05.21	Kei Nishikori - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
04.05.21	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
28.04.21	Kevin Anderson - Kei Nishikori	Canceled ✺
ATP Barcelona
22.04.21	Rafael Nadal - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLW?L
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Roma
09.05.21	Laslo Djere - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
03.05.21	Federico Delbonis - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
24.04.21	Rafael Nadal - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
23.04.21	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
22.04.21	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
08.02.21	Kei Nishikori - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:3
21.01.19	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kei Nishikori	2:3

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