Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Manacor 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Luca Castagnola		Izan Almazan Valiente

	1	2
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.16	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.83)	1.59 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
41.9%

Izan Almazan Valiente
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.

Izan Almazan Valiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Izan Almazan Valiente's recent form is better than expected.

Luca Castagnola - Izan Almazan Valiente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 667. Almazan Valiente is ranked ATP: 854.

In recent matches, Almazan Valiente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Castagnola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Castagnola - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
04.11.25	Amit Vales - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Luca Castagnola - Niklas Schell	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Luca Castagnola - Connor Thomson	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Adam Nagoudi - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Daniel Masur - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Izan Almazan Valiente
ITF Tournaments
07.01.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Drew Van Orderlain	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Jose Dominguez Alonso - Izan Almazan Valiente	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Izan Almazan Valiente - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Izan Almazan Valiente - Christian Sigsgaard	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Patrick Schoen - Izan Almazan Valiente	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWW

Luca Castagnola - Izan Almazan Valiente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide